Yield curve inversion (10Y–2Y)
Most-watched curve pair; corroborates the 10Y–3M signal.
The 10-year/2-year pair is the market's most-watched spread and often inverts well before the 10Y–3M — its lead is longer and noisier. It serves here as corroboration rather than a primary trigger — two independent curve measures agreeing carries more weight than either alone.
Rule
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Glossary: Yield curve inversion →
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