Sahm — states

warning · 6 · Nowcast · weight 0 · UNRATE

Count of states whose unemployment crossed the Sahm trigger — experimental regional nowcast.

An experimental regional nowcast: counting how many individual states have crossed their own Sahm-rule trigger. Recessions rarely start uniformly — state-level diffusion can reveal a downturn broadening before the national rate trips, at the cost of noisier signals.

Rule

{"type":"sahm_states","keys":"51 series","trigger":0.5,"warn_count":5,"critical_count":10}

Source series on FRED →

Glossary: The Sahm rule →

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