Temporary help employment
Temp staffing falling YoY — firms cut temps first.
Firms cut temporary staff before permanent staff — temp help is the labor market's shock absorber and historically turns down months before payrolls. A sustained YoY decline has preceded every recession for which the series exists.
Rule
{"type":"yoy","op":"<","threshold":0,"warn":3}
Glossary: Temporary help services →
Personal alerts in the bot
This page updates when the site rebuilds — the bot messages you the moment a signal fires. Alerts and the weekly digest are free; Plus adds custom thresholds, quiet hours and point-in-time episode replays.
Get alerts in Telegram — @us_recession_chance_bot